Malaysia in 2013, stability amid a global storm

There is growing optimism among investors despite possibility of overall contraction


Multi-sector economy: Malaysia’s economic performance has been strong, and it is often recognised as among the emerging economies that will have a prominent role on the world stage in the coming years.

KUALA LUMPUR: The new year is just around the corner. In many ways, it will be a relief to say farewell to 2012, a year which has seen the advanced countries struggling amid seemingly unending economic and financial uncertainty.

Naturally, the tail-end of the year is a time to look ahead with hope and expectation. And indeed, there is growing optimism among investors about the global economy. However, is this realistic when some experts refuse to rule out the possibility of an overall contraction?

When presenting its Economic Outlook in late November, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) warned that the global economy was expected to make “a hesitant and uneven recovery” over the coming two years.

OECD secretary-general Angel Gurra pointed out that we were not yet out of the woods. “The near-term outlook is not only weak, but also downside risks predominate. The lingering euro-area crisis remains a serious threat to the world economy. At the same time, if left unresolved, the US fiscal cliff' could tip the US economy into recession and weigh on global growth,” he added.

The eurozone is expected to see a 0.4% contraction this year and a further 0.1% fall in 2013. Even if the White House and congressional leaders can hammer out a short-term agreement on the budget that will avoid the fiscal cliff, growth in the United States is forecast to grow at 2% next year, down from the 2.6% forecasted in May.

With the United States and Europe battling to revive their economies, the OECD believes the world economy will grow by 3.4% in 2013, up from 2.9% this year.

This will likely be supported by the economic expansion of the likes of China, Brazil and India, although they too will be impacted by challenges faced in the West.

< Gurria: ‘The near-term global outlook is not only weak, but also downside risks predominate

Malaysia too will contribute to this forward momentum. Its economic performance has been strong, and it is often recognised as among the emerging economies that will have a prominent role on the world stage in the coming years.

The recent Country Brand Index (CBI) 2012-13, for example, ranks Malaysia as third among the Future 15 tomorrow's leading country brands that have “great potential across a variety of areas”.

Constructed annually by global brand consultancy FutureBrand, the CBI measures and ranks global perceptions around the world's nations based on elements such as their cultures, industries, economic vitality and public policy initiatives.

Economic reforms

This year is the first time that the index report incorporate the Future 15, which reflects six future drivers: governance, investment, human capital, growth, sustainability and influence.

Published last October, the CBI 2012-13 report notes: “Malaysia's workforce, tourism and vast resources may just be the secret to its success.”

That, of course, is not the full picture. A key component of the Malaysian success story has been the sound implementation of economic reforms since the nation's independence that has transformed an exporter of raw materials into an emerging, multi-sector economy driven by exports and supported by a well-developed regulatory system.

Manokaran says the economy is still driven by domestic demand, led by private consumption
 
Forward-looking planning has enabled the Government to capitalise on the country's unique offering, including a rich heritage and scenic landscapes, to support a thriving tourism sector. Home to more than 15% of the world's species, Malaysia is one of the world's most bio-diverse areas.

The current emphasis is on climbing the the economic ladder, and this is done via Government-led initiatives such as the Government Transformation Programme (GTP) and the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP), and a conscious effort to slowly liberalise sub-sectors of our economy.

Also crucial are a focus on building on the country's vast natural resources, a commitment to economic openness, and a concerted effort to drive investments in infrastructure and research and development. These are complemented by the encouragement of innovation in business and amongst the workforce, and the development of regional alliances.

Malaysia's economy has been resilient amid the challenging global economic conditions, with real gross domestic (GDP) product growth estimated at 5.1% this year and 5% in 2013, according to the World Bank.

Its third-quarter performance surprised on the upside with GDP expansion beating economists' median expectations of 4.8%; year-on-year growth in the quarter was 5.2%, with domestic demand fuelling economic activity and compensating for the slower export demand from major trading partners affected by the ongoing economic woes.

Domestic demand in the third quarter continued to experience double-digit growth, increasing 11.4% from a year ago. The impetus for this was supplied by strong public and private sector investment.

Private investments were primarily driven by capital spending in the services sector, particularly in transportation, real estate and utilities, while public investments were mainly capital spending by public enterprises in transportation, oil and gas, education and utilities.

< Zeti warns of some uncertainties in the export sector
 
Endless possibilities

Commenting on Malaysia's third-quarter performance, Alliance Research chief economist Manokaran Mottain said the economy was still driven by domestic demand, led by private consumption and investment activities, which reflected the Government's drive to stimulate income growth, improve and develop infrastructure, and ensure a steady flow of foreign capital.

However, Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz cautioned that although GDP growth in the fourth quarter was likely to continue that of the third quarter, there were some uncertainties in the export sector. The central bank estimates that growth for the whole of 2012 will be at least 5%.

The experts are cautiously confident about Malaysia maintaining its economic performance in 2013. The recent Malaysia Economic Monitor, a report by the World Bank, said Malaysia's growth would likely weather a weak global environment and would grow robustly in 2013.

Public and private investments are expected to remain strong and lend support to economic growth in the new year. Private investment is forecasted to grow at 13.3% in 2013, up from 11.7% in 2012, driven by the rollout of the ETP. Public investment is forecasted to expand by 4.2% in 2013, as a result of higher capital outlays by non-financial public enterprises and development expenditure by the Federal Government .

The Finance Ministry has said the prospects for the services sector are expected to remain upbeat with the accelerated implementation of key initiatives under the National Key Results Area and continued investment in the seven services sub-sectors under the National Key Economic Areas.

These initiatives are geared towards driving the wholesale and retail trade, finance and insurance, and communication sub-sectors, which are forecasted to grow 6.8%, 5.2% and 8.2% in 2013.

Though the United States and Europe have some way to go before they can again enjoy pre-crisis growth rates, Malaysia looks set to stay on its stable trajectory of growth, benefiting from wise economic planning and a steady pace of growth.

A bright future lies ahead for Malaysia, a nation earmarked to become a force that will reshape the global landscape of tomorrow. As the country plays an increasingly important role, it will no doubt offer Malaysians and the world a destination for growth and endless possibilities.

By News Desk The Star/Asia News Network

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Singapore start-ups struggle to woo investors, failure to launch

Singapore's decade-long push to become a hotbed for entrepreneurs is stuck at stage one.

The city-state of 5.3 million people ranks No. 1 in the world in ease of doing business and fourth in starting one, according to a World Bank study. It offers low taxes, easy-to-obtain seed money to start a business, and a well-educated, English-speaking workforce in the gateway to Asia.

It just takes one day and S$315 ($260) to register a business in Singapore. Yet, the country has struggled to attract international investment money for its own start-ups.

Venture capital firms are put off by the small size of the market, lack of big ideas that can be a global success and an uncertain exit strategy. Only 50 out of 301 venture capital firms based in Singapore are interested in local investment, according to the Asian Venture Capital Journal Research.

Of the 70 high tech start-ups the government has invested in over the past two years, just 10 received follow-on private funding from investors locally and abroad, according to the National Research Foundation, the government arm responsible for research and development.

"There is a real shortage of venture capital firms investing in Series A in Singapore," said Leslie Loh, an entrepreneur-turned-investor, referring to the first round of funds raised by start-ups after seed capital.

"VCs are looking at countries like India and China where there is a larger domestic market."

Only 2 percent (about $15 million) of the total venture capital investment in Asia is aimed at Singapore, according to Asian Venture Capital Journal Research's data for 2012. Japan,

China and India topped the list of big VC investments in Asia.

"In the early stage there is a big push (by the government). But if you look at the whole ecosystem for helping companies grow, there is a gap in the growth stage," said Wong Poh Kam, a professor at National University of Singapore's business school.

"For a Singapore company to be able to achieve global success, it needs to have sufficient follow-on venture capital funding."

CHICKEN-AND-EGG PROBLEM

Pampered by government funds at the early stage, when start-ups can tap up to S$500,000 in grants, companies are finding it hard when they go looking for millions of dollars from venture capital firms for Series A funds.

Of the 374 venture capital investments in Asia in 2012, Singapore accounted for just 24, according to AVCJ Research.

"If there are no success stories, VCs do not think there is a compelling reason to be here," said Wong.

But that success depends on big money from venture capital firms, leaving start-ups stuck in a vicious cycle.

Andrew Roth, co-founder of Perx, which makes a digital loyalty card application, said one of the first questions he heard from investors when he went looking for funding was, "What is your net operating income?"

Roth says he would not have been asked that question if he was in Silicon Valley, where investors care more about the functioning of the product and its ability to gain scale.

"The mindset has to change," said Roth, who is currently in the process of raising a second round of funds from individual investors and funds. "It is a younger ecosystem so investors are so much more risk averse."

THE 'A' CRUNCH

Singapore start-ups are also forced to think globally right from day one as a product aimed at a small domestic audience is not going to bring them a lot of success.

Henn Tan, head of Trek 2000 International Ltd, the company that introduced the ThumbDrive USB flash drive in 2000 and ranks among the few globally known success stories of Singapore, said it is difficult for Singapore to produce entrepreneurs.

"Because fellow Singaporeans are being subjected to regimented life from early years...there are too many rules and regulations for the young generation to think out of the box without being reprimanded," Tan said.

The problem of raising funds beyond the government-created cocoon raises the question of whether its involvement in the start-up scene is actually a good thing.

Some think the government initiatives allow undeserving start-ups to get easy money, while others say the lack of private funds just proves that the government has to be active in providing a catalyst to start-ups and entrepreneurs.

The government says it needs to support start-ups at the early stage because that's where the most risk exists.

"When the landscape is one which sees the vibrancy that you see in California and where multitudes of VCs have taken root and (are) able to manage a portfolio from early stage to growth stage to pre-IPO, then we can take a step back," said Low Teck Seng, CEO of the National Research Foundation.

But he also warned against too much government involvement. "If the government funds what the industry thinks is not worth funding, then we will not be doing justice to public funds."

IDEAL ENVIRONMENT

Other than state-run or state-backed companies such as Singapore Airlines Ltd and Keppel Corp Ltd, the world's largest oil rig builder, there are only a few big home-grown companies from Singapore.

There was Creative Technologies Ltd, whose PC audio cards, speakers and MP3 players were a hit in the early 2000s, but it fell out of favour with increasing competition. The company has posted 21 straight quarters of losses and voluntarily delisted itself from the Nasdaq in 2007.

For Perx's Roth, who moved from New Jersey to Singapore to start his company, the attraction is the presence of global firms that set up an Asian base here, providing a steady stream of potential customers.

The fact that Singapore is home to high-flying business executives also helps. Facebook co-founder Eduardo Saverin invested in Perx early on. He sits on Perx's board, and meets with Roth and his team once a month, Roth said.

"It's hard for Singapore to claim to be an entrepreneur hub for (the) whole of Asia," said NUS's Wong. "A more realistic target would be for Southeast Asia." ($1 = 1.2182 Singapore dollars)

(Editing by Emily Kaiser) (Reuters)

Regulate property management! Forum on Strata Management in Penang

IT is understandable for the Strata Management Act to attract much public interest. There are (or will soon be) more people living in high-rise strata properties than in landed properties, given the rapid urbanisation and rising land prices in Malaysia.

The issue of the Board of Valuers, Appraisers and Estate Agents (BVAEA) seeking to regulate property management is controversial. Since the BVAEA is a body under the Finance Ministry, isn’t it odd that the Finance Ministry rather than the Housing Ministry is trying to regulate property management?

Most people have a pretty good idea about the job of a property manager and would conclude that it is a generalist’s job.

There should not be too many restrictions attached to a generalist’s job, such as that of a sales manager or a supermarket manager.

The opinion of HBA honorary secretary-general Chang Kim Loong on the role of a property manager is a bit overstated.

Property managers are at all times employees of MCs and JMBs and never the other way round.

Lives and property worth millions of ringgit are the prime responsibilities of employers and not the employees.

It is an exaggeration to say that lives and property worth millions are being entrusted to property managers to care, control and manage.

However, it may be a good idea to regulate the property manager’s job, but it would be more appropriate if it came under a board in the Housing Ministry with input from engineers and architects.

It would be less appropriate to come under a board in the Finance Ministry, as property management has more to do with building than finance.

By A CONCERNED CITIZEN Kuala Lumpur

Forum on strata management

A SEMINAR on the Strata Management Bill 2012 as well as the Strata Titles (Amendment) Act 2012 will be held at Auditorium C and F, Level 5, Komtar, from 10am to 4pm on Jan 13.

Komtar assemblyman Ng Wei Aik said many people were unaware of the new bill’s contents, including how to handle strata management disputes.

“The bill provides better protection for property owners. It is important that they know their rights,” he said at a press conference.

He said lawyer Lee Khai would talk on the application of the Strata Management Bill while licensed land surveyor Chuang Kuang Han would talk on Strata Titles Application and Problematic Cases.

Registration fee is RM30 per person which includes buffet lunch and lecture notes.

The public, including management corporations, joint management bodies and residents associations are invited to attend.

For more details, contact Ng’s service centre at 04-2270215/017-4108914/012-4290163, fax 04-2278215 or e-mail dapkomtar308@gmail.com before Jan 8.

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An American-Made Business Model Has Less Success Overseas

For years, the titans of finance have held out the promise that they could export their business model overseas and mint billions in the process. Yet, there are increasing signs that global deal-making was always a myth.

If you’ve been anywhere near a Wall Street conference in the last five years, you know the drill. Deal makers bemoan the United States as a mature and overregulated economy. They talk about heading abroad, as emerging market economies leave us far behind. To listen to them, one might think the rest of the world was a paradise out of “Atlas Shrugged,” where capital flows and where private equity, investment banks and other investors can freely seek opportunities.

So what country is No. 1 in initial public offerings so far this year? Yes, it is the United States, according to Renaissance Capital, with 75 I.P.O.’s raising $39 billion in total. Compare this activity with China, where 41 I.P.O.’s raised just $8.1 billion.

M&AS

And in mergers and acquisitions? Again, it is the United States, with 53 percent of the worldwide deal volume, up from 51 percent from last year, according to Dealogic. For investment banks, this means that the United States has a 46 percent share of the $63 billion in worldwide investment banking revenue, up from 34.6 percent in 2009.

With the slowdown in once-hot emerging markets, the tide is going out, baring all of the problems and issues associated with global deal-making.

China is a prime example. Huge amounts of foreign and state investment produced an economic miracle. And in that time, wealth was there to be had.

But let’s be clear about where that wealth came from. In the United States, deal makers make money primarily by buying underperforming assets, adding some financial wizardry and riding any improvements in the stock market. Sometimes, they get lucky by making a quick profit, but often private equity works to squeeze out inefficiencies and make operating improvements in companies and then takes them public a few years later.

China's situation

In China, what increasingly appears to have been a stock market and asset bubble spurred by hundreds of billions in direct investment has created some spectacular early profits for deal makers. The private equity firm Carlyle Group, for example, has made an estimated $4.4 billion on an investment in China Pacific Insurance, which it took public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

But now, with the Chinese I.P.O. market at a virtual standstill and the Shanghai market down more than 30 percent from its high last year, that avenue to riches is over. People are starting to say that investment in China resembles a “No Exit” sign.

Deal makers are left with a back-to-basics approach that looks to make money from companies through economic growth or improving their performance. Yet most of these investments are made with state actors and minority positions, meaning that there may be little opportunity to actually do anything more than sit and wait and hope. And you know what they say about hope as a strategy.

It appears that deal makers are starting to realize the problem. Foreign direct investment in China was down 3.67 percent from last year to $9.6 billion, and it is likely to remain on a downward trend.

And China has been among the friendliest places for deal makers. Other emerging markets have been less accommodating. Take India, which has been criticized for excessive regulation, high taxes and ownership prohibitions. David Bonderman, the head of the private equity giant TPG Capital, recently said that “we stay away from places that have impossible governments and impossible tax regimes, which means sayonara to India.”

Foreign issues

The comment about India highlights another problem with foreign deal-making: it’s foreign. Sometimes, the political winds change and local governments that initially welcomed investment change their minds.

South Korea, for example, invited foreign capital to invest in its battered financial sector after the Asian currency crisis. But when Lone Star Investments was about to reap billions in profits on an investment in Korea Exchange Bank, a legal battle almost a decade long erupted as Korean government officials accused the fund of vulture investing.

And the political problems are sometimes not directed at foreign investors. South Africa, for example, is undergoing the kind of political turmoil that can stop all foreign investment in its tracks over treatment of its workers and continuing income inequality. Things are not much better in the more mature economies.

Economic doldrums

Europe is in the economic doldrums, and its governments are increasingly protectionist of both jobs and industry. France, for example, recently threatened to nationalize a factory owned by ArcelorMittal, which sought to shut down two furnaces.

The national minister said the company was “not welcome.” It’s hard to see a deal maker profiting from buying an inefficient enterprise that it can’t clean up without risking national censure.

Buying at a low is the lifeblood of any investment strategy — but this assumes that there will be an uptick, and on the Continent, that is uncertain given the state of Greece and the other indebted economies in Southern Europe.

This is all a far cry from the oratory vision-making at conferences. Now that the global gold rush has ended, the belief that the American way of doing deals is portable is being upended.

Fragmented world

We are left with a fragmented world where capital moves not so freely, the problems of politics and regulation are more prominent and investing in emerging markets becomes what it always has been: the province of more specialized investors who are in tune with the political and regulatory requirements. Regardless, the easy riches that many thought these countries would bring are now far out of sight.

And the winner in all of this is likely to be the much-maligned United States, where the economic conditions and regulatory environment first gave birth to these deal makers.

This is not to say that there will still not be global deal-making or that American multinationals will not continue to expand abroad. Of course, there will still be profits in deals overseas. But the vision that deal-making will instantly and seamlessly go global is increasingly exposed as one that was more a fairy tale than reality.- IHT/NYT

---

Steven M. Davidoff, a professor at the Michael E. Moritz College of Law at Ohio State University, is the author of “Gods at War: Shotgun Takeovers, Government by Deal and the Private Equity Implosion.” E-mail: dealprof@nytimes.com | Twitter: @StevenDavidoff

How to ask for a pay rise and get a bonus?

Successful ways to get an increment or bonus - Do not be boastful about your achievements or downplay the role of your colleagues

IT'S now December and year-end is just round the corner. It's also time for reflection about what you have achieved in your current job and what your plans are for next year in terms of your career path.

Taking some time to make such plans is a great way to ensure that you have set yourself in the right direction and how a well-crafted road map can lead you to your outcomes or objectives.

As with every plan, you need to give yourself some private time to set your thoughts in the right direction. Start with choosing a quiet place and give yourself ample time to relax and focus on how the current year has been and what lies ahead that you wish to see happening. Let's look at how you can successfully ask for a pay rise from your bosses if you had met and exceeded your targets and agreed KPIs.

• >Current year reflection is a measure of your achievements

You will need to execute a list which contains information (in bullet points may be sufficient) of the scope of work that you have done during this year and what were the results.

• >Crafting the list of achievements for the year

Start on a monthly overview e.g. January before you proceed to February. That way, you will not miss out any important information for that list. Have the list in a format which details the following in its respective columns:

• >Month

a. From January till November or December if you can already predict the results or outcome.

• >Projects and assignment

a. Note that it cannot be your daily task of following up on calls to clients but must be a sales lead that translated to an actual sales win
b. It can be a group project or one which you did individually

• >People involved

a. If it was a group project, list down the names of your colleagues for clarity
b. List down your role in the project e.g. principal driver or customer liaison person, risk analyst planner (your actual role in the group)

• >Timelines/cost involved

a. Duration from start to completion of project or assignment e.g. weeks or months
b. It could even be completed in a few days time
c. If there were cost investment required which is beyond the time spent on carrying out this programme, place the cost into the column e.g. marketing budget of RM12,000.

• >Objective of the project and assignment

a. What needed to be achieved from this project before it was kick-started
b. What were the challenges or issues that were required to be resolved?
c. What was the sales target in terms of revenue that needed to be realised?

• >Outcome/results achieved

a. The return-on-investment is critical in this column
b. List down the measurable results to be effective e.g.
i. If time was an essence, completion within or earlier than the duration expected or given
ii. If revenue was the outcome, place the amount/value into your outcomes
iii. If cost savings was involved, list down the amount /value saved

• >Conclusion

Chart a simple graph to show your progress on a month-to-month basis based on the agreed KPIs and where you are at now. If you have been with the company for more than two years, create a comparison analysis on your year-to-year progress to showcase your growth. Charts or graphs are easier to read and it gives a clear overview of the results quickly.

What is very important is that the information in that list must be real and a true reflection of what was achieved. Do not list down information which you cannot prove or which is untrue. Be mindful that it's not about having a long grocery list but a list which is impactful in terms of outcomes and results. If there was nothing significant in that month, go to the next month and only list the effective and efficient details in your list.

If your company does not have a performance review/appraisal fixed for year-end, set an appointment with your immediate boss to have that discussion. Be proactive in your approach.

During the discussion, have an open mind that your list may be challenged. Approach your discussion with your boss on a professional manner and never argue your points.

Be diplomatic and highlight the points that you have in your list. Reaffirm your points with facts and in some cases, walk your boss through how it was achieved and the process that was involved.

You may not be the only subordinate your boss has, so, he may not recall each and every project of all his subordinates or the results attached to it. It is advisable to have the discussion with a state of mind that you are showcasing your achievements and not out to prove your boss wrong or to boast of your achievements.

If you know that you have achieved many milestones and have been a star performer, always be humble in your demeanour. Do not be boastful about your achievements or downplay the role of your colleagues on any group projects.

Group projects are always achievable as a result of teamwork no matter how small a role someone else plays. It would be good to share credit on some of the successes by naming some colleagues who had played a critical part in your project list. This reflects your maturity and openness to share credit where it's due. It also shows that you have leadership qualities and values teamwork.

When you ask for a pay rise, you also need to be mindful of the company's performance for the year. Ask yourself if the company has achieved better performance results compared to last year as a benchmark or if your company has achieved the performance results/profits that was targeted at the start of the year based on your CEO/management's direction for the year.

Look internally at your achievement and do a quick Conclusion (as per the list requirements above) on your progress month on month and if possible, compare that with last year's progress. If your company has suffered losses this year, generally it is advisable not to ask for a pay rise. Employees who show loyalty to a company during challenging times will be valued and there are also other ways to measure how the company and its management treat you beyond the pay rise; rewards and recognition (extra annual leave, awards),
good health plan, training and development programme which provided upskilling and personal growth.

Do some research on salary ranges before asking for a pay rise as your pay rise needs to be realistic and based on market rate. Never ask for a pay rise that is unreasonable or which you know the company cannot agree to. Be willing to accept a compromise during the discussion and open yourself to different solutions offered by the company.

As much as we wish to have what our heart desires, there are times we have to face the reality of rejection. If you are successful in getting that pay rise, congratulations but to those who are not successful, do not accept it as a failure or an end to a means.

Things happen for a reason and it may be a call for you to take charge of your own achievements, on your skill sets and, at times, it may be reasons beyond your control such as the company's poor performance as a whole.

Talking HR with Melissa Norman

 Melissa feels that those who invest in their careers do not view salary as the only priority but the job satisfaction and meaningful friendships forged with colleagues and bosses as critical aspects for long-term career fulfilment.